not vested
4 Blue-Chip Bank Stocks: Bank of America (BOA)
Fear of rising interest rates brought on by positive economic trends within the U.S. and the European Union — the Greek debt crisis notwithstanding — should in theory be positive for Bank of America (BAC) and other blue-chip bank stocks as they potentially benefit from the higher rates.
Because of this, BAC could also be viewed as a safe-haven opportunity while a huge chunk of the S&P 500 falters under what many consider a monetarily hawkish inevitability.
In the markets, however, the prognosis for BAC stock is quite mixed. On one hand, investors can advocate for BAC on the basis of strong statistical trends. Since April, BAC is up 12%, largely on the back of impressive performances in the past two weeks. Such “quarterly returns” on average produce an 80% likelihood that BAC will move higher over the next 90 days.
But those odds have been generated mostly when BAC is on the run. Currently, however, Bank of America stock is stymied by a consolidation range, where the bulls have been unable to beat upside resistance at $18. Although bullish technical patterns — such as flags or pennants — feature a consolidation period prior to a breakout, this particular trading range is quite long in the tooth, active since April of last year.
Historical odds suggest that BAC will convincingly make a positive breakthrough but should the bulls show signs of weakness at the $18 threshold, it could turn out to be a dangerous gamble.
Source: investor Place