US - Market Strategy 03 (Jan 24 - Dec 26)

[behappyalways]

Incredible and just a bit insane to consider just how much $NVDA singlehandedly contributed to the S&P 500's return last year. If it wasn't for that historic 171% rally we would be having a much different conversation about market performance in 2024.
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1877531276619501763

[winston]

Stocks Will Outperform in 2025

by Chris Igou

A poor end to 2024 isn’t a death sentence.

Don’t let the recent struggles lead you to think this bull market is taking a turn.

Sure, there will be corrections and pullbacks along the way.

But as of now, 74 years of data show that owning stocks today is still a good idea.

Source: Daily Wealth

https://tradesoftheday.com/2025/01/17/s ... m-in-2025/

[behappyalways]

A good chart from GS that shows how sectors & factors may react to change in 10Y bond yields
https://x.com/AyeshaTariq/status/1878907598965236048

[winston]

HIGHS AND LOWS

NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

American Express (AXP)... financial giant
Bank of New York Mellon (BK)... financial services
Barclays (BCS)... financial services
Citigroup (C)... financial giant
Deutsche Bank (DB)... financial services
Discover Financial Services (DFS)... digital bank
Goldman Sachs (GS)... financial giant
Morgan Stanley (MS)... financial giant
Boston Scientific (BSX)... medical devices
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)... medical technology
Cisco Systems (CSCO)... networking tech
Robinhood Markets (HOOD)... stock-trading app
Tapestry (TPR)... high-end accessories
Tempur Sealy (TPX)... mattresses
Whirlpool (WHR)... appliances
Williams-Sonoma (WSM)... cookware and décor
3M (MMM)... manufacturing
Cheniere Energy (LNG)... natural gas
Kinder Morgan (KMI)... oil and gas

NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Novo Nordisk (NVO)... pharmaceuticals
Boston Beer (SAM)... beer
Wendy's (WEN)... fast food

Source: Daily Wealth

[behappyalways]

If you are wondering why memecoins like $TRUMP are so popular, it’s because we have long been moving away from defining value in tangible assets. Goodwill, Brand, Copyright, Patents is what dominates market value behind S&P 500 companies today.
https://x.com/MOTP42/status/1881002036717895746

[behappyalways]

Mag 7 stocks continue to trade at a premium valuation. Now 31x vs the Inglorious 493 at 19x fwd PE. That growth premium could be set to slow markedly this year.
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1881663155904094471

[behappyalways]

4% of global population

20% of global GDP

75% of global market capitalization
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1882496258054443248


Extremes Become More Extreme, Then Revert To The Mean
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/extre ... evert-mean

[behappyalways]

Pelosi, the female stock god in Congress, took action to cut Apple.
Three technology giants were snapped up.
Tempus AI, favored by the female stock god in Congress, experienced a record surge of 35%.

國會女股神裴洛西出手 大砍蘋果.搶買科技3巨頭 獲國會女股神青睞 Tempus AI創紀錄暴漲35%｜非凡財經新聞｜20250122

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=gplKqK-kLho

[winston]

DeepSeek shakes up stocks as traders fear for US tech leadership

By Abhishek Vishnoi & Winnie Hsu

Buzz grew over the weekend about DeepSeek’s latest AI model being cost-effective while running on less-advanced chips, casting doubt on the validity of the sky-high valuations for companies like Nvidia Corp.

It can potentially derail the investment case for the entire AI supply chain, which is driven by high spending from a small handful of hyperscalers.

Washington’s trade restrictions had kept the most cutting-edge chips out of China’s hands, but DeepSeek’s model was built using open source technology that is easy to access.

Source: Bloomberg

https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/742519

[behappyalways]

S&P 500 tech valuations have soared relative to sales
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1883550175404429399


$NVDA added a whopping $2.066T in market capitalization during 2024
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1883552564475793886