not vested
Tesla Inc – Not much to like
Recommendation : SELL (Downgraded); TP: US$135.00, Last Close: US$215.99
Analyst: Jonathan Woo
2Q24 revenue was in line with expectations.
Adj. PATMI (excl. SBC) was below due to lower EV pricing and EU tariffs.
1H24 Revenue/Adj. PATMI was at 45%/40% of our FY24e forecasts.
Doubling in energy storage revenue helped to offset EV declines.
Lower volume, pricing, and EU tariffs are expected to weigh on near-term margins.
TSLA auto gross margin (excl. credits) of 14% was a record low. 2Q24 deliveries were down 4.8% YoY to 444,000 units.
We maintain our FY24e revenue estimates but reduce PATMI by 6% to reflect further margin headwinds due to soft pricing and EU tariffs on China exports.
Our DCF target price is cut to US$135 (prev. US$145). We downgraded to SELL from REDUCE. Our WACC/growth rate assumptions of 9%/4% remain unchanged.
Source: Phillips
https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/TSLA/