by winston » Fri Jun 23, 2023 6:58 am
Weak US Commercial Properties
US office buildings are unlikely to regain their peak pre-pandemic values until at least 2040 as demand for desk space weakens.
Values are expected to plunge 35% from the peak by the end of 2025 and take an additional 15 years or more to recover as hybrid and remote work reshape real estate.
It’s a trend that mirrors the collapse of shopping malls as e-commerce grew.
Demolitions and conversions of the worst assets may partially counteract the impact but ultimately, landlords will have to bear those costs, so the road ahead for office owners is set to be an arduous one.
Source: Bloomberg
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"