World Bank Warns Global Economy "Perilously Close To Falling Into Recession"
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/wor ... -recession
A severe fragmentation of the global economy after decades of increasing economic integration could reduce global economic output by up to 7 percent, but the losses could reach 8-12 percent in some countries if technology is also decoupled.
Risks surrounding Asia's economic outlook including from weakening exports to advanced economies, slowing productivity in China and a fragmentation of global trade.
"Over the medium term, we expect the Chinese economy to experience a slowdown in productivity and investment, which will lower growth below 4 percent by 2028".
"Changes in Japan's monetary policy that lead to further increases in government bond yields could have global spillovers through Japanese investors, who have large investment positions in debt instruments abroad" .
"The initial phase of the recovery in China has been led by consumption and services, but at any time in the second half of the year, we will see a change from consumption and services to more manufacturing demand".
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