US - Fed 04 (Apr 21 - Dec 25)

Re: US - Fed 04 (Apr 21 - Dec 23)

Postby behappyalways » Mon Nov 14, 2022 8:00 pm

Does the Fed want to see stocks keep rallying? Probably not…
https://mobile.twitter.com/lisaabramowi ... 5304873984


Pour Some Cold Water on Doves.
Waller, permanent FOMC voter, Powell’s No. 1 lieutenant & closest confidante, chides investors in Sydney, Australia for getting ahead of themselves over CPI report. He’s concerned that inflation expectations could become UNANCHORED
https://mobile.twitter.com/DiMartinoBoo ... 1609568262

behappyalways wrote:All that hard work tightening financial conditions is melting away.
https://mobile.twitter.com/FedGuy12/sta ... 8743857155
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Re: US - Fed 04 (Apr 21 - Dec 23)

Postby behappyalways » Fri Nov 18, 2022 10:31 am

Fed pres James Bullard just dropped a bomb

He defines the "sufficiently restrictive zone" to be at minimum 5% and perhaps *higher* than 7%
https://mobile.twitter.com/JackFarley96 ... 5126986755
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Re: US - Fed 04 (Apr 21 - Dec 23)

Postby behappyalways » Mon Nov 21, 2022 3:48 pm

So ... the stock rally has about 12 more days before Jay speaks for eight minutes and blows it all up.
https://mobile.twitter.com/biancoresear ... 3955842048
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Re: US - Fed 04 (Apr 21 - Dec 23)

Postby behappyalways » Fri Nov 25, 2022 11:18 am

22.11.24【豐富│財經起床號】黃詣庭談「聯準會利率決策會議紀要說了什麼?」
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=WykWPCsUhHw
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Re: US - Fed 04 (Apr 21 - Dec 23)

Postby behappyalways » Wed Nov 30, 2022 5:40 pm

Bill Dudley Sees Fed Pause After Hikes to 5%-5.5% Range
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNv04u56WCY
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Re: US - Fed 04 (Apr 21 - Dec 23)

Postby winston » Fri Dec 02, 2022 9:52 am

US Fed Vice Chair Hints Changes to Bank Capital Rules, Expects to Discuss Slowdown in Rate Hikes This Mth

The Federal Reserve is exploring adjustments to the capital requirements for banks, as the inability of supervisors to predict unexpected impacts would warrant higher overall capital levels, said Fed Vice Chair of Supervision Michael Barr.

On another note, Barr added that the Fed has reached a restrictive territory and can now get to a sufficiently restrictive rate at a slower pace.

The vice chairman remarked that relevant topic will be discussed at this month's Fed meeting.

Source: AAStocks Financial News

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/ ... t-news/HK6
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Re: US - Fed 04 (Apr 21 - Dec 23)

Postby behappyalways » Mon Dec 05, 2022 10:05 am

GS this AM cites risk of UNDERTIGHTENING -- for good reason given the extremely strong jobs data.

Also, on FCI: "FOMC have already unwound 28% of the peak tightening generated YTD (FCI tightening peaked at 391bp YTD in Oct-22, now at 280bps)"

https://mobile.twitter.com/UrbanKaoboy/ ... 5781974016


Back to Powell's wasted efforts:
"US financial conditions are now easier than they were BEFORE the Fed deployed four consecutive blasts of 75 bps"
https://mobile.twitter.com/UrbanKaoboy/ ... 0804148226
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Re: US - Fed 04 (Apr 21 - Dec 23)

Postby behappyalways » Thu Dec 15, 2022 12:40 pm

The Fed projects raising rates as high as 5.1% before ending inflation battle
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/14/the-fed ... attle.html


22.12.15【豐富│財經起床號】黃詣庭談「最新聯準會利率決策會議解析」
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=_VVpjD1OVzI
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Re: US - Fed 04 (Apr 21 - Dec 23)

Postby behappyalways » Mon Dec 19, 2022 11:50 am

As this chart shows, there is a big difference between what the market and the Fed think. And this divergence will define the first part of 2023 trading.

https://mobile.twitter.com/biancoresear ... 7657293830
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Re: US - Fed 04 (Apr 21 - Dec 23)

Postby behappyalways » Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:15 am

Dudley: Investors Are Better Off Believing the Fed
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1VFjMt0F1eo
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