These Global Cities Show The Highest Real Estate Bubble Risk
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Global growth is expected to slow to 1.2% in 2023.
The Eurozone economy will shrink by 2% following sharp declines in consumer and business confidence.
In the US, the IIF expects gross domestic product to rise 1%, while Latin America is the “positive standout,” expanding 1.2%, as commodity exporters reap the benefits of high food and energy prices.
The single biggest driver for the global economy next year will be China, where loosening Covid restrictions are likely.
Supply bottlenecks persist as the Russia-Ukraine war rages on, and China's COVID lockdowns continue.
Some major economies are set to slip into recession as price pressures sap consumer demand and higher borrowing costs crimp investment.
Moreover, it said the lag between rate hikes and their effects, means that prices will stay elevated and consumer purchasing power diminished for some time.
Sectors dependent on discretionary spending, such as consumer goods and retail, energy-intensive sectors such as chemicals and rate-sensitive sectors such as housing, will likely suffer most.
Credit conditions in emerging markets will remain under particular pressure from the combination of a strong U.S dollar, high energy and food prices, and a slowdown in global demand.
S&P estimated that the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy rate will peak at 5.0%-5.25% in the second quarter and the European Central Bank's at 2.25% in the first quarter.
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