Iran 02 (May 18 - Dec 26)

[behappyalways]

Iran Publicly Discloses Supreme Leader's Status For First Time: 'Marginally Injured'
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... ly-injured

[behappyalways]

Iran Says It Has "No Trust" In US, Insists There Is "No Military Solution"
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... y-solution

[behappyalways]

Iran's Floating Oil Stockpile Jumps 65% As U.S. Naval Blockade Bites
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/irans ... kade-bites

[winston]

What price Hormuz?

Trump has 3 objectives in the Persian Gulf – he can achieve at most 2 of these goals

by Simon Johnson & Amir Kermani

Four possible scenarios:
1. China brokers a lasting peace;
2. Iran descends into chaos;
3. US walks away entirely and
4. Some muddled version of the status quo continues

The main threat to the Strait of Hormuz comes from low-cost, easily operated drones. If Iran fractures into warring factions, does that reduce or increase the threat to the Strait? If some version of the drone threat remains, will oil tankers (and their crews and insurers) be willing to transit the Strait?

The most likely near-term scenario: an uneasy ceasefire that breaks down periodically. When the US is less confrontational, ships can move through the Strait. But if the US lashes out, Iran can choke off traffic in a proportionate manner.

Source: Business Times

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/opinio ... ice-hormuz

[behappyalways]

The Iraq War was "foolish" and there was absolutely no need to start it.

米爾斯海默：「愚蠢的」伊戰 根本沒必要開打【短篇】#TVBS文茜的世界周報 20260523

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=tPXJEFduA ... gLAYcqIYzv

[behappyalways]

Mehr News has released a short version of the 14-clauses of the MoU that will be signed on Friday, between Iran & US.
https://x.com/AryJeayBackup/status/2066290950196928786

[behappyalways]

Saudi Delegation Makes Unexpected Appearance In Tehran For Start Of Ayatollah's Funeral
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... hs-funeral

[winston]

Iran resumes attacks in Strait of Hormuz, Axios reports

by Ayushman Ojha

Two commercial vessels were struck by Iranian missiles, suffering significant damage but causing no casualties.

The reported attacks came after a one-week agreement between Washington and Tehran to suspend attacks in the strategic waterway expired, placing a memorandum of understanding signed less than three weeks ago at risk of unraveling.

A round of indirect talks between the United States and Iran in Doha last week ended without significant progress on security in the Strait of Hormuz.

Source: Investing.com

https://www.investing.com/news/economy- ... ts-4778197

[behappyalways]

Iran To Grant China, 'Friendly' Countries 'Special Consideration' On Hormuz Fees
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... ormuz-fees

[behappyalways]

Iran's Reliance On China's Beidou Satellite System Is A Game-Changer In War With US
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... ger-war-us