A new report from the Washington-based think tank CSIS, unveils the closed anti-corruption black box within the Chinese military.
華府智庫CSIS最新報告 掀開共軍封閉的反腐黑箱 【短篇】#TVBS文茜的財經周報 20260301
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-tHa7-h4D ... 4KAYcqIYzv
Most economists say the ratio of bad loans is significantly higher than the 1.5 per cent official rate.
One analyst at Absolute Strategy Research in London pegs it at about 10 per cent, which would mean a staggering US$3 trillion in loans that should be classified as past due are not. Others say it could be double that amount.
In March, China lowered its 2026 growth target to between 4.5 per cent and 5 per cent, its least ambitious goal since 1991.
Despite seemingly strong capital buffers and stable non-performing loan (NPL) ratios, officials have moved to bolster the nation’s six biggest banks with more than US$100 billion in fresh capital.
About 10 per cent of listed non-financial firms have failed to cover interest payments from their earnings before interest and tax for three consecutive years, according to Absolute Strategy Research. As a result, the NPL ratio is probably closer to 10 per cent than 1.5 per cent.
These so-called zombie firms accounted for 16 per cent of assets at non-financial companies in China in 2024, up from just 5 per cent in 2018. While the real estate sector has the highest rate, the manufacturing and services sectors are rising, too, the report found.
To counter the weak loan books and shore up the banks’ balance sheets, the government is injecting money into the lenders. China will issue a total of 300 billion yuan worth of special sovereign bonds this year to recapitalise banks, adding to a 500 billion yuan lifeline last year.
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