Yuan fix vs estimate blows out to a new record of 1,111 pips
https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/16 ... 0209281396
The onshore yuan dropped to a nearly 16-year low against the US dollar yesterday, as pessimism grew toward China's economy and financial markets.
Foreign currency reserves and exports also dropped.
"The yuan will likely remain under significant pressure before economic growth finds a floor and the PBOC will continue to defend the yuan". "However, the PBOC's objective is likely to slow yuan depreciation, rather than defending an absolute level."
As the world's second-biggest economy ran massive trade surpluses in recent years and local interest rates fell below those in the US, Chinese exporters began to hoard dollars in anticipation that the yuan would weaken.
Some investors also borrowed in yuan to invest in higher-yielding assets abroad, a strategy known as the carry trade.
But a shift in sentiment in favor of the yuan could prompt exporters and speculators to unload dollars and send the Chinese currency surging.
If people see a signal that the yuan could strengthen by 3 percent to 4 percent, they won't be interested in holding the dollar and profiting from the yield gap.
Currently, the market has priced in a yield gap of 3 percent to 4 percent between the currencies of China and the US based on the one-year contract for the dollar-onshore yuan swap.
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