EUR/USD: 1.1249 versus 1.1322.
The euro actually fell a bit after a two week break higher that tested the May to October 2015 tops of the trading range.
Source: Investment House
The euro, in anything like its present form, will likely cease to exist within a decade, and probably far sooner.
If I had a lot of my wealth in euros, I would get it out ASAP.
As it is, I’m short the euro, mainly via selling naked calls.
Governments are net payers of interest. If you hold a government bond, the interest payments are part of your income. When a central bank lowers rates, they lower that income. That’s deflation… not inflation.
Lower rates mean less money floating around. It strengthens currencies. And that’s what we’ve seen with the U.S. dollar.
In sum, lower income due to falling interest rates, coupled with rising exports, makes the euro harder to get… and more valuable.
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