by winston » Tue Dec 21, 2010 12:29 pm
Vested
As the short-selling is very high on this stock, it's time to review the fundamentals of the company to see whether I have missed anything.
The short-sellers normally have a lot of good information so we should respect them. Having said that, they could have shorted at around HK$18 and may be covering now.
1) The Wind Industry is expected to grow at 20% to 30% over the next two years, so it should be good for the company
2) Onshore Wind Farms of 1.5MW and 2.5MW should still be using gear-box
3) Offshore would probably switch to "Direct-Drive" but "Direct Drive" is more expensive and also uses rare earth
4) Margins may be affected by increase in Salary, Raw material, Competition etc.
5) PE 14; As long as it's growing EPS at 15%, PEG is 1
Did I miss something ? if you are a Short-Seller, would you dare to short a stock that has a PEG of only 1 ?
What could be a catalyst that would squeeze some of these shorts ? Asset Injection ? New Products ? Buy-Backs ( their placement was at 17.38 ) ?
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"