Warning Signs 01 (Oct 08 - Feb 15)

[winston]

What Does It Mean That This Billionaire Just Liquidated Most of His Real Estate Empire?

By Mac Slavo

Source: SHTFplan.com

http://www.thetradingreport.com/2014/04 ... te-empire/

[winston]

One Sobering Chart

By Todd Bunton

Source; Zacks Investment Research

http://www.thetradingreport.com/2014/04 ... ing-chart/

[winston]

5 Bearish Warning Signs

1) Russell 2000 Small Cap index breaks down below 200-day moving average

2) 10-year Treasury yields fall to 2.6% as fears about war and deflation mount

3) Heavy 'distribution' of growth stocks from Technology to Biotech

4) Heavy sector rotation away from growth areas to defensive, safety areas

5) A mature bull market, with big gains on the table, entering 'worst six months'

Source: Zacks

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/corre ... 17565.html

[winston]

What My Stock-Market Warning Sign Is Saying Today By Dr. David Eifrig

Readers of Retirement Millionaire have made a fortune in this bull market…

Over the past five years, our average gain is 50%.

We've made such great gains by ignoring "doom and gloom" pessimists who would have you believe we're about to enter another depression. Instead, we've focused on facts, owned U.S. stocks, and we've made huge gains.

But no bull market lasts forever. And when a bull market is ready to end, there are some indicators that often flash warnings sings. We'll take a look at one of these indicators today…

While most investors imagine themselves as calculating and rational… the truth is, most are driven by misinformation and emotion.

As a result, when general optimism is at an extreme… when everyone is buying… that's usually the best time to sell. A big drop is likely around the corner. (The opposite is also true for times of extreme pessimism.)

That's the essence of what we call "being contrarian."

What does sentiment about the market tell us right now?

The American Association of Individual Investors ("AAII") – a nonprofit group focused on educating people on investing issues – publishes a weekly Sentiment Survey.

This is a reading of what percentage of individual investors consider themselves bullish, bearish, or neutral.

As I said, sentiment is often a contrarian indicator. When everyone is convinced that the market will continue rising and the bullish indicator hits an extreme high… that's when people get burned.

But right now, we're not at an extreme… Around 28% of individual investors think the market is headed higher.

That's high, but not enough to signal an imminent turnaround.

For example, before the dot-com collapse, 60% of investors were bullish. Before the 2008 bust, more than 50% of investors were bullish. Those are levels that signal a big turn.

Similarly, in 2002, when the bullish reading was at its lowest in almost 13 years, the market roared higher over the next five years.

There was also the high reading earlier this year. In January, about 55% of investors reported feeling bullish… just before the market cooled a bit.

Right now, you can find plenty of financial commentators claiming that the market is due for a turnaround. But it's not truly overheated. We won't likely reach a peak until the most ardent perma-bears throw up their hands and start investing.

So with the market likely to keep plowing higher, I'm urging my readers to continue buying quality U.S. stocks… including two that I've mentioned here recently, Chevron and Microsoft.


Source: Retirement Millionaire

[winston]

Watch for this "early warning" of a bear market in stocks

by Porter Stansberry

Source: The S&A Digest

http://thecrux.com/porter-stansberry/

[winston]

Two critical charts for the stock market now

by Jeff Clark

Source: S&A Short Report

http://thecrux.com/these-could-be-the-t ... arket-now/

[winston]

3 recent signs the market is broken

By Simon Black

Source: Sovereign Man

http://www.thetradingreport.com/2014/05 ... is-broken/

[winston]

3 Troublesome Signs for the Market

A few festering issues threaten the peaceful road to new highs for the S&P 500

By Anthony Mirhaydari

Source: InvestorPlace

http://investorplace.com/2014/05/market ... 4kcGXY0OZQ

[winston]

Stocks are hitting new highs again. But this could be a huge red flag.

Source: Bloomberg

http://thecrux.com/stocks-are-hitting-n ... -red-flag/

[behappyalways]

Global watchdogs rattled by lack of fear in the markets
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/am ... e-markets/