Source:
http://www.investors.com/editorial/IBDA ... e=20080513HP To Purchase EDS For $13.9 Billion, Taking On IBM In Technology Services
BY BRIAN WOMACK
INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY
Posted 5/13/2008
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) reached a deal Tuesday to buy Electronic Data Systems, (EDS) but cranky investors will now look for proof that this massive acquisition will help the computer maker better compete with IBM.
HP shares fell 5.5% to close at 44.27 after announcing it will pay $12.6 billion ? or $13.9 billion based on the deal's total value, including debt ? for EDS, a huge player in the global services industry.
The drop followed a 5% decline Monday on news that the companies were talking.
HP expects to close the acquisition in the second half of the year.
The deal is HP's largest since its bruising takeover of Compaq in 2002.
The new deal will push HP to No. 2 in technology services, up from No. 5, giving No. 1 IBM (IBM) a tougher competitor.
HP also previewed its second-quarter earnings, and raised its full-year outlook. For the second quarter, which ended April 30, earnings rose 24% to 87 cents a share, about 4% over views. Sales rose 11% to $28.3 billion, slightly over views.
For the current third quarter, HP expects to earn 82 to 83 cents, up 11% from the year-ago period and in line with analysts' estimates. It sees sales of $27.3 billion to $27.4 billion. That topped estimates of $27.35 billion. HP also nudged up full-year guidance.
The company will give full results Tuesday.
The financial results drew mixed reviews, but Wall Street mostly focused on the EDS merger.
HP says the move will give it a much stronger footing in the services arena — more than doubling HP's services business to $38 billion in annual sales. The new business will be called "EDS — an HP Company."
Not only will the merger beef up HP's reach in the services business, but it will also help HP sell more of its own hardware to EDS' customers, company officials say.
"For us, this was a very important strategic move," said Ann Livermore, executive vice president of the HP's services unit, called Technology Solutions Group. "It allows us to bring a much more complete (set of) services, as well as products to our customers."
But will the deal work?
Analysts cited EDS's ho-hum sales growth in recent quarters — 3% to 6% — and hefty operating costs.
"Near-term, it presents a challenge for the company because EDS was not executing well," said Shebly Seyrafi, an analyst with Caris & Co. "The margins on EDS were much lower than for HP's services business. The growth rate was flattish."
He says this won't be a simple acquisition, and investors don't always have a lot of patience.
"This digestion period could introduce a higher risk to the company," he said.
Shaw Wu, an analyst with American Technology Research, says EDS' sheer size, $22 billion in annual revenue, makes the task daunting.
"Even with a CEO of Mark Hurd's caliber, this is a handful," he said.
Still, Wu and other analysts say Hurd proved conventional wisdom wrong in 2005 when he joined the company and executed what has become a well-known turnaround at HP.
"I think it could work," Seyrafi said.
Like IBM, Hurd has been pushing toward more software and services to supplement the lumpy nature of its traditional hardware business, including computers and printers.
Under Hurd, HP has spent more than $6 billion on acquisitions in software, which tends to have healthier margins than hardware. Services gives HP more consistent revenue.
Ben Pring, an analyst with Gartner, says the move could pay off well for HP. The market is massive at $780 billion in sales and has been growing 10% a year.
HP has been largely seen as a provider of services that supports only its own products, Pring says. And HP tended to be shut out of large contracts for some big airlines or banks that often went to IBM, Accenture (ACN) and EDS.
Buying EDS will help HP address those issues, he says.
"To pick up $22 billion for $13 billion is pretty unprecedented in this industry," Pring said.
HP didn't say much about its second-quarter results, except that it was "highlighted by solid performance across HP's business segments and strong cash flow from operations."
Wu called the company's outlook "slightly disappointing."
"I think people had been somewhat accustomed to better than that," Wu said, adding that HP may have just been conservative.
Caris & Co. analyst Seyrafi says HP's results were buoyed by a weak dollar, especially with HP's extensive sales in Europe.
Richard Gardner, an analyst with Citi Investment Research, called the results "solid" in a research note.