by winston » Tue Apr 06, 2010 4:26 pm
Not vested. From DBS:-
Execution on track, highlights from China malls visit
• China growth drivers on track
• New developments to support medium term expansion
• Maintain Buy with TP of $2.51
Exploring China malls. Our site visit to CMA’s completed and pre-completed properties, in Beijing, Tianjin and Sichuan indicate that development activities are on track.
Occupancy of the malls are full or close to, while rental yields have been improving from initial low single digits to mid single digits as a result of asset enhancement or
repositioning activities.
Malls under development to complete from 2010-13. Of the 50 malls in China, 33 malls are operational and a further 17 new malls are expected to be ready beyond 2012
including Raffles City Chengdu and Cuiwei, which are currently under construction, while the Meili and Tianfu projects, which are newly acquired, will be finished beyond 2011.
This will provide a continuous income stream to underpin rental growth in the medium term as well as higher revaluation surpluses when the properties are completed. The latter have been reflected in our RNAV but n ot in our FY10-12 forecasts.
Maintain Buy, TP $2.51. Our target price of $2.51 is premised on a 10% premium to RNAV of $2.28. Notwithstanding the impact of potential for Chinese currency appreciation to its China exposure, CMA’s China portfolio is expected to grow from the present 30% of portfolio to 38% when fully completed.
In addition, with its lowly geared balance sheet, the group is well positioned to tap new opportunities in Singapore and overseas. CMA is currently trading at close to 1.6x P/bk NAV, in line with its nearest peer Hang Lung Properties.
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"