by millionairemind » Fri Jul 31, 2009 6:37 am
ublished July 31, 2009
SIA posts first quarterly loss in six years
By VEN SREENIVASAN
FACED with the worst operating conditions since 2003, Singapore Airlines has announced its first set of quarterly losses in six years and warned that it could post its first full-year loss since it was formed in 1972.
The combination of the global economic downturn, the outbreak of Influenza A (H1N1) and fuel hedging resulted in a loss of $307 million for the first quarter ended June 30. It posted a group operating loss of $319 million for the first quarter, against an operating profit of $343 million last year.
The airline company alone (excluding associates and subsidiaries) lost $271 million during the quarter. SilkAir lost $3 million (down from a profit of $10 million previously), while long-suffering SIA Cargo bled to the tune of $104 million (after a profit of $5 million in April-June 2008).
This is the airline's first quarterly loss since April-June 2003, when it posted a net loss of $312 million and an operating loss of $377 million, during the Sars pandemic.
Group revenue fell 30 per cent to $2.87 billion, down $1.26 billion from $4.13 billion in the April-June 2008 quarter as carriage on both the passenger and cargo sides declined. Yields headed south as well, reflecting increased competition and promotional fare activity.
Group expenditure at $3.19 billion was $598 million or 15.8 per cent lower than the same quarter last year. The drop in the price of jet fuel provided relief of $1.14 billion, partially offset by fuel hedging losses of $287 million (compared to hedging gains of $349 million).
The operating statistics showed that SIA filled 20 per cent fewer seats during the quarter. The company has initiated an 11 per cent cut in capacity which has yet to be put into effect.
Meanwhile, under the terms of a flexible wage deal for airline staff, its 12,000 bargainable employees (including pilots and cabin crew) will see their monthly pay packets slashed by 10 per cent from August. Chief executive Chew Choon Seng will take a 20 per cent cut.
The pay cuts will provide estimated savings of $60 million for the current financial year, the airline said.
'If conditions continue, the group expects to make a loss for the full year,' the airline said in a statement.
If so, this would be the first ever full-year loss for the airline since its inception in 1972.
And analysts are not upbeat on the prospects for the rest of the year.
'They really need to get their load factors up to above breakeven,' said Vincent Ng of S&P Asian Equity Research. 'The question is whether they can, under the current operating conditions.'
Indeed, SIA's passenger breakeven was 84.3 per cent, way above its April-June numbers of 66.9-75.7 per cent. On the cargo side, its breakeven load factor of 77.6 per cent is almost a full 20 percentage points above the 58-61 per cent range during the quarter.
Meanwhile, the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 13 analysts suggests SIA could post a full- year loss of $625 million for the year ending March 2010.
The stock rose 18 cents to close at $13.52 yesterday, before the earnings numbers were released.
Source: Business Times Singapore
"If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he has been wrong" - Bernard Baruch
Disclaimer - The author may at times own some of the stocks mentioned in this forum. All discussions are NOT to be construed as buy/sell recommendations. Readers are advised to do their own research and analysis.