by winston » Thu May 12, 2011 2:38 pm
Not vested
UPDATE 1-OCBC Q1 net beats expectations, eyes business growth in 2011
* Net profit S$628 mln; consensus S$582 mln
* Says business outlook positive despite inflationary pressures
* Wealth management share of revenue rising
* Shares have underperformed rivals this year
By Saeed Azhar
SINGAPORE, May 12 (Reuters) - Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp , Singapore's second-biggest lender, flagged a better year for the business in 2011 despite looming inflationary pressures as it posted a less-than-expected 7 percent drop in quarterly profit.
Singapore banks have benefited from strong loan growth and higher fees from capital markets, but low interest rates have prevented them from taking full advantage of a rebound in corporate and consumer spending.
OCBC said it sees a positive outlook for this year, as the first quarter saw double-digit loan growth in Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia.
"While inflationary pressures persist, the business outlook continues to be positive for the year," CEO David Conner said in a statement.
Analysts are closely looking for signs on when the margin compression will ease which have prevented upside in earnings.
Singapore's central bank does not target interest rates when managing monetary policy, so interest rates move in tandem with U.S. rates.
"The outlook is OK as Singapore banks will see modest EPS growth on a year-on-year basis, but on a fair value basis there's not much upside because the net interest margin expansion is not going to come this year," said Derek Ovington, a banking analyst at CLSA.
OCBC posted a net profit of S$628 million ($508 million) in Jan-March, compared to S$676 million a year earlier.
That compared with an average forecast of S$582 million, according to six analysts polled by Reuters.
OCBC is the last among Singapore's three banks to announce first quarter earnings. United Overseas Bank , Singapore's third ranked lender, posted a 13 percent fall in quarterly net profit due to low interest rate margins, but DBS posted a record quarterly profit thanks to falling bad-debt charges and a strong trading income.
OCBC's net interest income rose 11 percent to S$784 million as loans grew 23 percent, overcoming weaker margins.
The bank's net interest margin -- the difference between the interest rate the bank charges and what it pays depositors - fell to 1.90 percent in the first quarter from 2.03 percent a year ago. Margins fell 6 basis points from the fourth quarter.
Analysts are closely looking for signs that margin compression will ease over the next few months as rates rise in Asia.
Fee and commission income climbed 23 percent to S$279 million, fueled by growth in the wealth management business.
OCBC, which completed the purchase of ING's Asian private banking unit in early 2010, said the share of revenue from wealth management grew to 27 percent of total revenue from 26.1 percent a year ago.
Trading income, however dropped by 51 percent from a record high a year ago and gains from investment securities fell 64 percent, which dragged down overall non-interest income lower.
OCBC shares have undeperformed rivals this year and are down about 4.3 percent so far this year, more than the near 1 percent fall in Singapore's blue chip Straits Times Index . OCBC shares outperformed rivals in 2010, when its share price rose 9 percent.
Shares of DBS , the city-state's biggest bank, have risen around 2.8 percent since the start of the year, while those of UOB, the third-largest, are up around 6 percent.
Source: Reuters
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"