School of Hard Knocks 02 (Jan 10 - Jan 13)

Re: School of Hard Knocks 02 (Jan 10 - Jul 11)

Postby winston » Tue Apr 05, 2011 9:29 pm

TOL:-


What did you learn from this Japanese Nuclear Reactor crisis ?


1) The guys who built that Japanese reactor, had all the answers before they built it

( But they did not even know what are the right questions :lol: )


2) They think that they have covered all the bases.

( Smooth talking salesmen in nice suits :P )


But this happens in life over and over again. You think that you are so smart and know all the answers. You think that you can react quickly if something goes wrong. But when something goes wrong, you dont know what really hit you :P

Finally, nothing replaces common sense. Who in their right mind, would build a nuclear reactor in an earthquake zone ? And for that matter, who in their right mind, would want to build a nuclear reactor, next to their home ?
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 112695
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: School of Hard Knocks 02 (Jan 10 - Jul 11)

Postby kennynah » Wed Apr 06, 2011 1:37 am

Finally, nothing replaces common sense. Who in their right mind, would build a nuclear reactor in an earthquake zone ? And for that matter, who in their right mind, would want to build a nuclear reactor, next to their home ?


tell this to the french 8-)
Options Strategies & Discussions .(Trading Discipline : The Science of Constantly Acting on Knowledge Consistently - kennynah).Investment Strategies & Ideas

Image..................................................................<A fool gives full vent to his anger, but a wise man keeps himself under control-Proverbs 29:11>.................................................................Image
User avatar
kennynah
Lord of the Lew Lian
 
Posts: 14201
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 2:00 am
Location: everywhere.. and nowhere..

Re: School of Hard Knocks 02 (Jan 10 - Jul 11)

Postby winston » Thu Apr 14, 2011 8:00 am

TOL:-

There's a parrot on CNBC who has been bearish since the S&P was at 666.

Not sure how much he and his clients have lost, shorting the market since that time.

He always have very loud convincing arguments why the market would tumble.

Most of you already know how to make money in the market. Therefore, you dont really need to allow these parrots to sway your thinking.

You already know when to buy and when to sell. Parrots like this guy, are just Noise. So I always mute my TV when this loud "expert" appears on CNBC. Actually, CNBC is normally on mute nowadays ...
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 112695
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: School of Hard Knocks 02 (Jan 10 - Jul 11)

Postby winston » Mon Apr 25, 2011 8:12 pm

How to Avoid a Repeat of the 2008 Wipeout By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
Monday, April 25, 2011

On May 13, I'll be speaking about quite possibly the best investment strategy I've ever seen…

It's not a stock strategy, or a real estate strategy, or anything "traditional." But it's never lost money in a calendar year going back 31 years (as far back as I have data to test).

Best of all, this investment doesn't care about what happens in the stock market…

When stocks fell by 9%, 12%, and 22% from 2000 to 2002, this investment chugged along, safely earning a positive 9% in each of those three years. And when the stock market lost 37% in 2008, this investment rose 3%.

This particular idea is a simple currency strategy. I'll be presenting the details and how to easily invest in it at The Global Currency Expo in La Jolla, California on May 13.

Why a currency idea?

The most important reason is that currency strategies typically don't care what happens in other investments. This is important…

The stock market crash of 2008 was a real eye-opener to investors… Before 2008, people thought "diversification" equaled "safety." Investors thought that, by spreading their eggs around, they couldn't get hurt too badly. So they got diversified across a wide range of stocks, bonds, commodities, and real estate.

The lesson was brutal – everything went down. A lot. Diversification, as most people thought of it, simply didn't work.

A few things (that most people didn't own) actually performed just fine… Some simple currency strategies made money (like the one I'll share at the conference). Gold went up a bit. Tax-lien certificates that I recommended chugged along just fine. And guaranteed investments (like MarketSafe CDs from EverBank) of course didn't lose you any money.

Could we see another crash like 2008, where just about everything goes down? It's in the realm of possibility…

Stocks have doubled from their lows two years ago. Oil is up over $100 a barrel again. Silver is up hundreds of percent. Things are up. A lot. So a bear market in just about everything – like 2008 – is certainly possible.

Learn the lesson from 2008… Don't think you're diversified because you own stocks, bonds, and commodities.

Instead, add strategies to your investments that won't get clobbered when everything else does… safe currency strategies, tax-lien certificates, guaranteed investments, and others that shouldn't get hurt if we see a 2008-style fall.

You will have to read up on these unique investments… Chances are, most people you know won't know a darn thing about them.

But it'll be worth it. You'll avoid the pitfalls and maximize the opportunities. Get to it…

Source: Daily Wealth
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 112695
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: School of Hard Knocks 02 (Jan 10 - Jul 11)

Postby winston » Sun May 29, 2011 7:36 pm

Make Money Despite Your Investing Mistakes by Alexander Green


Investment mistakes can be expensive and some times fatal to your financial health.

Yet you will make them. And that’s okay.

The key is to:
• Not make the terribly stupid ones,
• And to learn from the rest.

Here’s what I mean …

Bone-Headed, Life-Altering Investment Mistakes

Those who make bone-headed, life-altering investment mistakes – the kind that destroy retirement dreams or radically change standards of living – almost always make the same ones:

• They didn’t invest in quality.
• They didn’t diversify.
• They repeatedly tried – and failed – to time the market.
• They delegated their investment decisions to someone unworthy of the task.

There’s a simple way to avoid these pitfalls…

Divide and Conquer Through Asset Allocation

Divide your investment portfolio among different asset classes (stocks, bonds, precious metals, inflation-adjusted Treasuries and so on) using our Oxford Asset Allocation Model, re-balance annually and follow proven, battle-tested rules of investment (which obviates the need for a full-service broker).

When you buy individual stocks, there are further mistakes you can – and will – make. Sometimes your timing will be wrong. Occasionally, you’ll be hit with a bolt out of the blue, like:

• A surprise earnings miss,
• A product recall,
• A patent infringement,
• Or an unexpected class-action suit.

Performing your due diligence – thoroughly investigating each business before you invest in it – can mitigate these risks. But that can’t eliminate them. There are too many potential risk factors for even the most diligent investigator to uncover.

Lessen the Sting of Investment Missteps with Trailing Stops

What do you do? First, you understand that you’ll be wrong occasionally – and take steps to lessen the sting of these missteps.

A good example is our trailing stop policy. They give you unlimited upside potential and strictly limit your downside risk.

• Longer-term investors might use a 25 percent trailing stop.
• Short-term traders will run their stops closer, say 15 percent behind a stock.

The important thing is to follow a proven discipline. That protects your hard-won gains and keeps the inevitable mistakes from derailing your investment plans.

I mention these timeless notions because I see a lot of investors making fundamental errors today.

• They’re loading up on gold and silver at the expense of almost everything else.
• Or sitting with most of their money in cash, earning next to nothing.
• Or they’re buying extraordinarily risky bonds to earn higher yields.

Successful investors hedge their bets. They understand that they’ll get hit from time to time, just as NFL players get slammed to the ground. It’s all part of the game. Expect it. Prepare for it.

What If You’re Wrong?

No matter what your investment posture, take a minute to ask yourself, “What if I’m wrong? What do I stand to make if I’m right? What do I stand to lose if I’m wrong?”

Mull it over. Visualize your best-case and worst-case scenarios. Focus on where your investment portfolio might be overexposed or out of whack – and adjust accordingly.

As someone who has been active in financial markets for more than 25 years, I have a finely honed sense of all the potential things that can go wrong – and a good appreciation, too, that there’s plenty more we can’t even envision.

As long as I’m an active investor, I know I’ll keep making mistakes. But I’m done making the foolish ones. The older you get, the tougher it is to imagine starting over. My advice is this: If you’re going to learn the hard way, start small and do it early.

Better still, learn from someone else’s mistakes. As I tell my regular readers, “I’ve made all the dumb mistakes so you don’t have to.”

Heed the words of Benjamin Franklin. “Experience is a dear school, but fools will learn in no other.”

Source: Investment U
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 112695
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: School of Hard Knocks 02 (Jan 10 - Dec 11)

Postby winston » Fri Jun 17, 2011 8:49 am

Beware of Scarecasts By ALAN ABELSON

All you need is a string of negative reports on the economy, accompanied by a skein of messy down days in the stock market, to touch off a burst of scarecasts.

We're not referring to the bearish predictions of chronic (critics would say clinical) pessimists like Société Générale's admirable Albert Edwards, whose lugubrious view of the global scene we often share.

Albert is both consistent and open about what he predicts, like the S&P 500 ultimately declining to 400, and why. In contrast, perpetrators of scarecasts, whose ranks have swelled in recent weeks, insist that their dire prognostications are not forecasts, although they sedulously avoid saying exactly what they are.

Something a mean little bird told them? A revelation distilled from a bad dream occasioned by eating bean sprouts for dinner? But let's not quibble—we'll call them scarecasts.

http://online.barrons.com/article/SB500 ... rticle%3D1
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 112695
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: School of Hard Knocks 02 (Jan 10 - Dec 11)

Postby winston » Thu Jun 30, 2011 6:01 am

Do you know what and why you are buying ?

News Corp sells Myspace, ending six-year saga byJennifer Saba

NEW YORK (Reuters) - News Corp has sold Myspace for $35 million, a fraction of what it paid for the once hot social media site even as a new generation of web-based start-ups is enjoying sky-high valuations.

Specific Media, an online advertising company, will acquire Myspace in a deal that caps a tumultuous period of ownership under Rupert Murdoch's News Corp, which swooped in to buy Myspace for $580 million in 2005.

At the time, Myspace was among the world's most popular websites, and News Corp's success in beating out rival Viacom Inc in a bidding war was viewed as a major victory for Murdoch. Since then, however, the deal has become a hard lesson in what can happen when a traditional media company imposes its will on a start-up.

It also shows how quickly audience -- and investor -- tastes can shift in the world of social networking. Indeed, Wednesday's deal contrasts sharply with the current frenzy over social media companies, including LinkedIn, Twitter and Groupon, among investors looking for the next big thing.

Another of the hot start-ups, Zynga, an online social game company, plans to raise up to $2 billion in an initial public offering that could be filed by Thursday, valuing the company at $20 billion

"This is a mistake that will repeat itself," James McQuivey, an analyst with Forrester Research, said of the Myspace saga. "I'm not sure that someone being pushed on by early round investors, someone reading their own press, which is praising them, will stop and say, 'Wait, is this a one-year fad, a two-year fad? Or is this a five-year to ten-year change in the way things are done?'"

The Myspace transaction calls for News Corp to retain a minority stake in the website, the companies said in a statement, confirming a deal that was reported earlier. The companies did not disclose detailed financial terms.

A source familiar with the transaction said the deal is worth $35 million and is a mix of cash and stock. News Corp will retain about 5 percent, the source said.

Additionally, more than half of Myspace's 500-strong workforce is expected to be laid off because of the sale, the source said.

The deal comes after a four-month bidding process in which a number of different possible buyers surfaced, including other social networking sites and private equity firms. The auction had been expected to fetch in the neighborhood of $100 million.

In the end, the sale serves as the latest example of what can happen to a once coveted company with a rocket-like trajectory that quickly loses its luster as competitors zoom past it in popularity.

Founded in August 2003 by Chris De Wolfe and Tom Anderson, Myspace was conceived as a way for friends and fans to connect with one another as well as with their favorite bands and artists.

Myspace, a kind of musical version of pioneer social network site Friendster, fast became wildly popular with teenagers and young adults, who spent hours designing their own pages with their favorite digital wallpaper, posting photos and adding friends.

At its peak in 2008, Myspace attracted nearly 80 million people in the United States, almost double that of Facebook.

The growth was too fast and Myspace had trouble scaling the number of users who were flocking to the site. Meanwhile Facebook had opened up its platform to third-party developers, such as Zynga and its popular FarmVille game. That attracted more people and kept them on the site.

By 2011, the number of U.S. visitors to Myspace fell to about 40 million while those visiting Facebook totaled about 150 million, according to online measurement firm comScore.

For the quarter ended March 2011, News Corp reported a segment operating loss of $165 million, mainly due to declines at Myspace.

Source: Reuters US Online Report Technology News
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 112695
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: School of Hard Knocks 02 (Jan 10 - Dec 11)

Postby winston » Sun Jul 03, 2011 7:47 pm

Why Money Managers Fail to Beat the Market by Alexander Green

Here are three easy ways to beat the market: Deception, irrelevance and bad math.

Perhaps some explanation is in order…

It’s a well-known fact that three out of four investment professionals fail to beat an unmanaged index each year. Over the long term, the percentage is much greater.

Yet everywhere you go, investment advisors claim they’re generating superior results. It’s a bit confounding. So let’s take a closer look…

Why Money Managers Fail to Beat the Market


Most money managers fail to beat the market for a number of reasons.

• Some, quite frankly, are inexperienced or inept.
• Others, being human, make mistakes.
• Some find it impossible to beat the market after charging substantial fees.
• And most operate at a disadvantage because they must keep substantial cash on hand to meet redemptions. (And cash is a notoriously poor performer.)

Yet despite these headwinds, many money managers – perhaps most – still claim that they’re beating the market. Are they lying? You be the judge…

http://www.investmentu.com/2011/June/wh ... arket.html
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 112695
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: School of Hard Knocks 02 (Jan 10 - Dec 11)

Postby winston » Sun Jul 10, 2011 7:46 am

Experience

"Experience is a hard teacher because she gives the test first, the lesson afterwards."

-Vernon Sanders Law
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 112695
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

Re: School of Hard Knocks 02 (Jan 10 - Dec 11)

Postby winston » Fri Jul 15, 2011 6:12 pm

"It's about what you learn, after you know it all, that counts."

Harry S. Truman
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
User avatar
winston
Billionaire Boss
 
Posts: 112695
Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am

PreviousNext

Return to Other Investment Instruments & Ideas

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 8 guests