by winston » Thu May 18, 2023 6:18 am
US Consumer debt has set a new record high of $17 trillion
The largest source of debt for Americans is mortgage debt. So, as home prices and interest rates have skyrocketed in recent years, it would appear obvious why consumer debt is soaring.
And since mortgage debt isn’t necessarily a bad thing, we might be able to brush off this new record.
That’s logical. Unfortunately, it’s not what’s happening.
The mortgage debt hasn’t gone up that significantly.
So, it looks like consumers are taking out credit card debt and other things they should not be doing. So, that means consumer spending is going to be fleeting.
We find that new mortgage originations, including refinancings, totaled just $323.5 billion in Q1 2023. That’s the lowest level since the Q2 of 2014.
For additional context, it’s 35% lower than Q4 of 2022 and a whopping 62% lower than the same period a year ago.
So, if mortgage debt – “good” debt – isn’t driving this new record amount, what is?
Well, part of the answer is monthly expenses charged on credit cards.
Here’s CBS News:
… Americans are carrying a record $986 billion in credit card debt, up 17 percent from last year.
Inflation is causing many people to lean on credit cards to cover monthly expenses and most people are having to pay heavy interest on that debt…
LendingTree says the average rate is about 21 percent, and the average balance is nearly $7,300. If you're only making minimum monthly payments, that would take almost five years to pay if off.
Again, this does not reflect a healthy consumer.
Source: Investor Place
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"