US - Market Strategy 03 (Jan 24 - Dec 26)

[behappyalways]

S&P 500 market breadth is near the worst levels it's ever been
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1940027054293946878

[behappyalways]

Wow. The US stock market has a market capitalization of $63.8T, which is more than the other markets listed below combined at $61.6T
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1942227952474763613

[winston]

Stock market's roaring rally to record highs could hit pause

by Josh Schafer

We feel neutral on the outlook for stocks in the 2nd half of 2025 and are mindful that our new price target is essentially in line with recent levels.

"We expect choppy conditions in the back half of the year, and swings in both directions".

Among other risks, it's likely still "too early to stop worrying about tariff impacts" on corporate earnings.

Overall, eight strategists among the 14 tracked by Yahoo Finance currently project the S&P 500 to close either nearly flat from current levels or lower.

Even those who predict an increase aren't pounding the table for the rally to continue in the short term.

Ed Yardeni, who maintains a 6,500 year-end target for the S&P 500, wrote that the recent V-shaped recovery for stocks could soon look more like a "square root shaped pattern," where the path higher stalls.

"It's hard to identify a positive catalyst for the S&P 500 to continue its meteoric run into Q3," Subramanian wrote.

"Among our five target models, our earnings per share surprise framework represents our near-term read and is mixed, at best.

Negative guidance and revisions in April/May have improved to average levels but economic surprises have broken down. And the meat of corporate profits, tech company earnings, are slated to decelerate."

Source: Yahoo Finance

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-ma ... 46975.html

[winston]

Stocks Should Keep Climbing in the Second Half of 2025

by Brett Eversole

The recent roller-coaster ride ended with a positive return for the first half of the year. And according to history, that means we could see another 7% upside by year-end.

Stocks tend to keep rising after a good first half of the year. The typical return for the second half of the year is 7.1%. And those gains tend to continue… with a 12-month return of 11.2%.

Source: DailyWealth.com

https://dailytradealert.com/2025/07/17/ ... f-of-2025/

[behappyalways]

AI bubble
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1947098871353561108

[winston]

HIGHS AND LOWS

NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Citigroup (C)... financial giant
Bank of New York Mellon (BK)... financial services
Sprott (SII)... financial services
CBOE Global Markets (CBOE)... exchange operator
Robinhood Markets (HOOD)... stock-trading app
Coinbase Global (COIN)... cryptocurrency exchange
Microsoft (MSFT)... tech giant
Flex (FLEX)... electronics manufacturer
Life360 (LIF)... security app
Roblox (RBLX)... video games
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL)... cruises
Tootsie Roll Industries (TR)... candy
Trane Technologies (TT)... HVAC manufacturer
Cameco (CCJ)... uranium
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS)... "offense" contractor
L3Harris Technologies (LHX)... defense contractor

NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Centene (CNC)... health insurance
Humana (HUM)... health insurance
Teleflex (TFX)... medical technology
Western Union (WU)... money transfers
Black Stone Minerals (BSM)... oil and gas

Source: Daily Wealth

[behappyalways]

Meme Stock Mania Makes Glorious Return Thanks To Mindblowing OPEN Gamma Squeeze
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/meme- ... ma-squeeze

[behappyalways]

SPX at new ATH and fewer than 100 stocks making new 52 week highs
https://x.com/Chartfest1/status/1949106097828118848

[winston]

HIGHS AND LOWS

NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Charles Schwab (SCHW)... brokerage services
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)... exchange operator
CBOE Global Markets (CBOE)... exchange operator
Nvidia (NVDA)... semiconductor giant
Broadcom (AVGO)... semiconductors
Palantir Technologies (PLTR)... defense-software solutions
eBay (EBAY)... online marketplace
Ralph Lauren (RL)... apparel
Tapestry (TPR)... high-end accessories
Caterpillar (CAT)... heavy machinery
Trane Technologies (TT)... HVAC manufacturer
Johnson Controls (JCI)... industrial equipment
TE Connectivity (TEL)... industrial "picks and shovels"
MasTec (MTZ)... infrastructure and engineering
Newmont (NEM)... gold miner
Cameco (CCJ)... uranium

NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Centene (CNC)... health insurance
Lululemon Athletica (LULU)... athleisure
CarMax (KMX)... used cars

Source: Daily Wealth

[winston]

It’s Time to Buy Small-Cap Stocks

by Bryan Hayes

Market breadth has improved, with a greater number of stocks participating in the bullish rally.

One area of the economy that benefits significantly from two key themes of President Trump’s approach – deregulation and lower taxes – is small businesses. There’s less red tape, allowing them to operate more seamlessly.

Small-cap companies, as measured by the Russell 2000, are set to deliver more than 60% year-over-year EPS growth in the second quarter.

We shouldn’t fear interest rate cuts, as small-cap stocks have performed admirably after the central bank begins the easing process.

And given that we’re in a strong, trending market with little volatility, the probability of further gains ahead remains enticing from a historical perspective.

Source: Zacks

https://dailytradealert.com/2025/07/28/ ... ap-stocks/