US - Market Strategy 03 (Jan 24 - Dec 26)

[behappyalways]

Last month brought about the largest retail buying flows on record, according to JP Morgan
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1919020316497490107

[winston]

HIGHS AND LOWS

NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

CME Group (CME)... derivatives
Quest Diagnostics (DGX)... medical data
VeriSign (VRSN)... domain-name provider
Stride (LRN)... online education
Duolingo (DUOL)... language-learning app
Netflix (NFLX)... video streaming
Tootsie Roll Industries (TR)... candy
Weis Markets (WMK)... grocery stores
CenterPoint Energy (CNP)... utilities
National Fuel Gas (NFG)... utilities
Republic Services (RSG)... waste disposal
Leonardo DRS (DRS)... "offense" contractor

NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Block (XYZ)... financial services
UnitedHealth (UNH)... health care giant
Becton Dickinson (BDX)... needles and syringes
Hologic (HOLX)... medical devices

Source: Daily Wealth

[winston]

HIGHS AND LOWS

NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

Deutsche Bank (DB)... financial services
Banco de Chile (BCH)... financial services
Virtu Financial (VIRT)... financial services
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)... exchange operator
Duolingo (DUOL)... language-learning app
Okta (OKTA)... identity-protection software
Comstock Resources (CRK)... natural gas

NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK

UnitedHealth (UNH)... health care giant
Sweetgreen (SG)... fast-casual dining

Source: Daily Wealth

[winston]

Big Tech goes from stock market’s safest bet to biggest question

“I think we’re going to stall out here,” Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley’s chief investment officer, said on Friday (May 16) in an interview. “It’s hard to justify the numbers.”

The Magnificent Seven accounts for about a third of the benchmark’s market capitalisation. So if the mega-tech index, which is down 4.2 per cent for the year compared with a 1.3 per cent rise in the S&P 500, reverses course and takes the lead, how much does the S&P rally?

The most encouraging sign for the stock market has been the S&P 500’s ability to rebound without big tech companies leading.

Source: Bloomberg

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/compan ... t-question

[behappyalways]

US large cap funds are on track for a record $521 billion of inflows in 2025
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1924155012772503864


Is it over? Small cap funds are set for their biggest outflow ever in 2025!
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1924155108960481648


US stocks are on track for $416 billion of inflows in 2025, the the second biggest year ever after 2024
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1924154909114417641

[behappyalways]

A Third Of Russell 3000 Energy Companies Trade Below Book Value
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/third ... book-value

[winston]

M Stanley Upgrades US Stocks & Treasuries to Overweight, Predicts USD to Continue Weakening

Morgan Stanley has upgraded its ratings on US stocks and Treasuries, from Neutral to Overweight on expectations that the Fed will trim interest rates to support bonds and corporate earnings.

The broker predicted that the S&P 500 would climb to 6,500 in 2Q26.

Meanwhile, the USD is expected to remain on a downtrend as the US economic growth advantage over other countries continues to diminish, said Morgan Stanley.

Related News: Retail Sales YoY for Apr in United States is 5.2%, unchanged from its last period.

Source: AAStocks Financial News

http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/ ... -news/AAFN

[winston]

TP20250523 S&P 500 relief rally hits resistance

On 19 May 2025, the S&P 500 index found resistance upon retesting an uptrend channel support breakdown level at 5,968 points.

This was confluent with a range support breakdown level at 5,970 points at the end of February 2025, which acted as resistance upon the retest.

In addition, the Volatility S&P 500 index (VIX) pulled back and retested an upward support line on 12 May 2025, consolidating sideways thereafter.

On 21 May 2025, the VIX broke out above the short-term 5 & 10 Simple Moving Average (SMA) resistances, which suggests the VIX is likely to see a further rebound following the pullback from 7 April 2025.

We see potential further downside for the S&P 500 index following the price actions observed for the S&P 500 and VIX.

The S&P 500 could pull back towards the support levels of 5,500 and 5,120 points.

Source: Phillips

https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research ... esistance/

[behappyalways]

Hedge funds have the lowest allocation to US health care stocks in years, per Goldman
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1926642591996522882

[behappyalways]

The highest paid CEOs in the US
https://x.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1927760192193614213